Applied Energy, Vol.87, No.8, 2506-2516, 2010
Integer programming with random-boundary intervals for planning municipal power systems
Uncertainty attached to municipal power systems has long been crucial considerations for the related planners. Such an uncertainty could be expressed as random-boundary intervals (RBIs) In this study, an integer programming with random-boundary intervals (IPRBI) approach was developed for municipal electricity-supply management under uncertainty A concept of random-boundary interval (RBI) was introduced to reflect dual uncertainties that exist in many system components A solution method named two-boundary approach (TBA) was proposed to solve the IPRBI model. A case study was provided for demonstrating applicability of the developed method The results indicated that the RBI and integer-interval concepts were effective in dealing with highly uncertain parameters The IPRBI method solutions could be used for generating efficient electricity-supply schemes under various complexities They can also be used for analyzing tradeoffs between system cost and electricity-shortage risk. Compared with the existing methods. IPRBI was advantageous in reflecting the complexities of system uncertainties that were presented as RBIs, integer-intervals and intervals. Crown Copyright (C) 2010 Published by Elsevier Ltd All rights reserved.
Keywords:Random-boundary interval;Integer-interval;Uncertainty;Correlation;Electricity supply planning