화학공학소재연구정보센터
Canadian Journal of Chemical Engineering, Vol.85, No.4, 386-398, 2007
The use of simplified or misspecified models: Linear case
Simplified models have many appealing properties and sometimes give better parameter estimates and model predictions, in sense of meansquared-error, than extended models, especially when the data are not informative. In this paper, we summarize extensive quantitative and qualitative results in the literature concerned with using simplified or misspecified models. Based on confidence intervals and hypothesis tests, we develop a practical strategy to help modellers decide whether a simplified model should be used, and point out the difficulty in making such a decision. We also evaluate several methods for statistical inference for simplified or misspecified models.