화학공학소재연구정보센터
SPE Reservoir Engineering, Vol.11, No.1, 34-36, 1996
Virtual reserves - And other measures designed to confuse the investing public
Norman Augustine, CEO of Martin Marietta, in his book Augustine's Laws,(1) observed that, ''Cost estimating is the first professional activity to make practical use of the mathematics of a complex number. It is easy to see the imaginary component in these estimations. The difficulty is in finding the real part.'' Over the years, I believe we have seen this form of math creep into reserve estimation. In that we are once again dealing with numbers that have no resemblance to reality, I think that the appropriate label for such reserves, in keeping with the terminology of modern technology such as virtual imaging and virtual memory, is to call them ''virtual reserves.''