화학공학소재연구정보센터
Computers & Chemical Engineering, Vol.85, 147-150, 2016
The advantage of using external financing (leverage) to design/build/operate a new chemical plant
This research note includes a significant theoretical extension and minor errata for an earlier publication [Mellichamp, DA. New discounted cash flow method: estimating plant profitability at the conceptual design level while compensating for business risk/uncertainty. CACE 2013; 48: 251-63.]. A closed-form theoretical expression is developed that provides a direct estimate of the financial advantage to be obtained by using outside financing rather than internal (enterprise) funds to build a chemical plant. Emphasis is at the conceptual design level, where the reduction in financial profitability (ROIBT) required to justify further work on a project is developed in terms of the financial parameters (enterprise rate, construction rate, bond rate, etc.). An unexpected outcome is that the reduction in required profitability is independent of any specified risk cushion (NPV%) or long-term profitability (NPV); it is solely a function of background financial market rates and project internal timing assumptions vis-a-vis the enterprise' historic rate of return. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.