Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries, Vol.11, No.1, 25-41, 1998
Real-time monitoring and detecting of after-burning hazards of continuous catalyst regenerators
Chemical process operations an rarely steady and often vary with time. Slow and persistent process drifts associated with gross errors make data rectification difficult. In this study, a multivariate statistical process control method for detecting abnormal process conditions, which is based on the posterior mode estimator, was proposed. It first decomposed the observation equation of a state-space model into a trend component, an irregular component, and a gross error component with recursive transition equations. A penalized least-square method was then applied to derive the maximized likelihood and unbiased estimation of the measurements. A precise prior-assigned model was not needed for the estimator, and it could be implemented on-line easily. Statistical methods based on Hotelling's T-2 distance, Wilks Lambda criterion, simultaneous confidence intervals, and measurement tests were adopted to detect abnormal drifts in process operations. For performing these tests, a simple method of introducing a forgetting estimation on the steady-state operation values was suggested to enhance the robustness property and to treat the effects of non-steady data measurements. An on-line monitoring system, underlying the desire for real-time analysis and monitoring in chemical or petrochemical plants, was developed for detecting process upsets and drifts. The promising performance of the proposed method in detecting after-burning hazards has finally been demonstrated by a continuous catalyst regenerator in comparison with the results suggested by a senior process engineer for practical operations.
Keywords:PRINCIPAL COMPONENT ANALYSIS;GROSS ERROR IDENTIFICATION;DATARECONCILIATION;DYNAMIC PROCESSES;NEURAL NETWORKS;SYSTEMS