Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries, Vol.16, No.4, 313-321, 2003
Dynamic management of human error to reduce total risk
Safety management in companies at the limit of risk criteria must be implemented in order to survive in the very aggressive and competitive environment of modem society. It implies that the risk in process industries is crossing the limit of safe practices. Most major accidents consist of human errors and mechanical component failures, and cannot be explained by a stochastic coincidence of independent events. This work focuses on the coincidence of human error and mechanical failure to introduce a concept of dynamic management of human error. By the dynamic management of human error during a short period, when a mechanical component is temporarily unavailable during periodic testing or maintenance, the probability of a major accident may be reduced significantly without additional investment on improving safety. For the periodically-tested standby component, the majority of total average unavailability of the component may be recognized by operators or workers as well as maintenance mechanics. During this short period, an appropriate dynamic management of human error for improving human performance temporarily may be very effective in reducing total risk in industries. The dynamic management of human error may be a useful method to prevent loss effectively in the process industries (C) 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords:human error;dynamic management;risk management;risk control;conditional probability;major accident